Friday, October 01, 2004

More Debate Nuance

Conventional wisdom was that this first debate, on homeland security and foreign policy, was supposed to be Bush's sweet spot, and that this, of the three, was his best chance to shine. True, conservatives will tell you that the reason we love Bush is because of his foreign policy, and that our foreign policy is probably the world's most important issue at present.

However, it is also, for better or worse, where Bush is most vulnerable. It's easy to take the MSM's accounts of Iraq and paint a dismal picture replete with beheadings and car bombs. We still don't have OBL. North Korea and Iran ARE working to acquire working nuclear bombs. There's a lot of ammunition there, from the Left's standpoint, making this debate, I think, Bush's main achilles heel. Bush has everything to answer for, while Kerry has nothing to to be accountable for.

Contrast this with the economy. Yes, Kerry will be dealing his "worst jobs President since Hooever" line like a poker deck, but Bush has the preponderance of statistical evidence on his side. The economy (GDP) has expanded every quarter since its brief dip in 2001 — at times, at the fastest pace in 20 years. Employment continues to rise, and the unemployment rate continues to fall. Consumer confidence is strong. The hard data show that we are in an expansion — forget recovery — and Kerry will try to paint this as a recession.

Color me optimistic, but I think Bush only improves from here, largely owed to the fact that Iraq and Osama are now behind us.

Also, Color Me Badd.



At October 3, 2004 at 2:35 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Why do you think Iraq and Osama are behind us?

At October 4, 2004 at 9:53 AM, Blogger Ralph Phillips said...

In terms of the debates, Iraq and Osama are largely "behind us," as topics (though they may come up again the town hall forum meeting). Obviously, neither is "behind us" in actuality — just as debate issues. Thanks for reading.


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